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I can't tell you how often I have been told, over the last several years, that the managed services market was ready for a massive consolidation. Well, it's Q1 in 2015 and it hasn't happened. Sure, there have been some noteworthy M&A deals in the past few years but nothing that would amount to a tidal wave of M&A activity.
So, what could explain a) the incorrect predictions of consolidation, and b) why there hasn't been any significant M&A consolidation in over 10 years? Let's examine the issue more closely.
If you speak it, it will happen
Uh, this is generally not the case. Self fulfilling prophesies are rare in life, rarer still in the managed services industry. It is entirely plausible, although I cannot guarantee this is true for everyone who told me MSPs would consolidate, that these individuals were hoping to create sense of panic in the market but getting enough MSPs to doubt their future and hopefully sell. Now, this is a very cynical view but I would wager that more than one MSP buyer out there was hoping this idea would take hold.
The other reason these buyers mack these statements is lack of intelligence. No, not real intelligence I mean actionable data. For example, if a MSP buys one MSP who is struggling, they may honestly believe that a majority of other MSPs are also struggling and are in need of a buyer. This thinking can be addictive, as well as incorrect. Why incorrect?